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International Journal of Statistika and Mathematika, ISSN: 2277- 2790 E-ISSN: 2249-8605

Volume 9, Issue 1, February 2014 pp 14-19

Research Article

Forecasting of Monthly Mean of Maximum Surface Air Temperature in India

K. Anitha Kumari¹, Naveen Kumar Boiroju², P. Rajashekara Reddy¹

¹Department of Statistics, Sri Venkateswara University, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh, INDIA.

Academic Editor: Dr. Dase R. K.

In this paper, forecasting of monthly mean of maximum surface air temperature of India using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, feed forward neural networks (FFNN) and hybrid models are discussed. Prediction ability of the models compared with the various statistical methods. The results show that there is an increasing trend in the monthly mean of maximum SAT in India.